Correcaminos UAT 2-1 Venados — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 24 Mar 2024

Correcaminos UAT
2-1 HT 2-0
Venados
📅24/03/2024 · 🕒04:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

Correcaminos UAT vs Venados Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.8pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Correcaminos UAT v Venados — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Venados EU Bookmakers 38%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.29/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.82
+2% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +51%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Correcaminos UAT vs Venados Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Venados
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2 Corners 6
The Meetings
23.08.2023 Venados Venados 4-3 HT 0-1 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
11.01.2023 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-1 HT 0-1 Venados Venados MEK2
27.06.2022 Venados Venados 1-3 HT 0-2 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
02.02.2022 Venados Venados 2-2 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
13.10.2021 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-2 HT 1-0 Venados Venados MEK2
09.11.2019 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 2-1 HT 1-1 Venados Venados MEK2
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs Venados
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Correcaminos UAT edged past Venados 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Correcaminos UAT found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 1.83 for Venados.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs Venados?

Correcaminos UAT 2-1 Venados in the Mexico - Primera A on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs Venados?

Before kick-off our model rated a Correcaminos UAT win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 38%, draw 26%, Venados 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Correcaminos UAT) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Correcaminos UAT) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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