Tlaxcala 0-4 Leones Negros Udeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
39%
3.35
Away
37%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-3.3pp
39%
Draw
26%
+13.0pp
37%
Away Win
47%
-9.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 50%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.01/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.87/0.75
-16% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +63%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
229 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tlaxcala
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
30.10.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-1 HT 2-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
01.04.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 3-0 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
01.09.2022 Tlaxcala 2-0 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
20.03.2022 Tlaxcala 1-2 HT 1-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
28.10.2021 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-0 HT 1-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
16.09.2020 Tlaxcala 1-3 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
POST-MATCH Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros Udeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg cruised past Tlaxcala 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 24% / 39% / 37% — and on the day Leones Negros Udeg made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tlaxcala and 1.83 for Leones Negros Udeg.

What was the final score of Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Tlaxcala 0-4 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tlaxcala vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tlaxcala 24%, draw 39%, Leones Negros Udeg 37%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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