Smouha 0-2 Zamalek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.24
6+ Goals
8%
21.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 34% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.5pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smouha EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamalek EU Bookmakers 38%
+8% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.29/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.14
+16% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
16.1 Crosses 19.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smouha
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Zamalek
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.17 xG 1.28
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
235 Passes 371
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Smouha Smouha 1-0 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
21.10.2023 Zamalek Zamalek 5-1 HT 3-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
13.02.2023 Smouha Smouha 1-3 HT 0-3 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
19.10.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 2-0 HT 0-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
24.07.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 2-0 HT 1-0 Smouha Smouha MSR
15.02.2022 Smouha Smouha 2-0 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smouha
0-2
AWAY Zamalek
1.64 xG 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
345 Passes 319
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 8
22 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Smouha vs Zamalek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamalek saw off Smouha 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Zamalek made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Smouha had 52% of the ball to Zamalek's 48%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.64 to 0.80 — the balance of chances actually favoured Smouha.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zamalek led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Smouha and 2.00 for Zamalek.

What was the final score of Smouha vs Zamalek?

Smouha 0-2 Zamalek in the Egypt - Premier League on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smouha vs Zamalek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Smouha win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Smouha 40%, draw 27%, Zamalek 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Smouha) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Smouha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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