Vizela 0-1 Chaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.57
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.58
6+ Goals
9%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vizela EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chaves EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
0.93/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.13
-7% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 17.2
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vizela
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Chaves
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.16 xG 1.36
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
341 Passes 291
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.04.2024 Vizela Vizela 0-1 HT 0-1 Chaves Chaves POR
01.12.2023 Chaves Chaves 2-1 HT 1-1 Vizela Vizela POR
10.02.2023 Vizela Vizela 0-0 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POR
22.11.2022 Vizela Vizela 2-2 HT 1-1 Chaves Chaves PORLC
20.08.2022 Chaves Chaves 1-1 HT 1-1 Vizela Vizela POR
26.02.2021 Chaves Chaves 2-2 HT 0-1 Vizela Vizela POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vizela
0-1
AWAY Chaves
1.79 xG 1.25
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
435 Passes 211
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vizela vs Chaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chaves nicked a narrow win over Vizela 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Chaves made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Vizela had 64% of the ball to Chaves's 36%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.79 to 1.25 — the balance of chances actually favoured Vizela.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chaves led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vizela and 1.33 for Chaves.

What was the final score of Vizela vs Chaves?

Vizela 0-1 Chaves in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vizela vs Chaves?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vizela win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vizela 39%, draw 29%, Chaves 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vizela) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vizela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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