Moreirense 3-2 Gil Vicente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
5.29
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.03
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.3
X/1
14%
4.35
X/2
11%
6.89
X/X
10%
3.66
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
10%
5.78
2/X
7%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.5pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreirense EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.46/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.39
+11% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
19.8 Crosses 15.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreirense
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gil Vicente
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.11 xG 1.23
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
323 Passes 333
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Moreirense Moreirense 0-1 HT 0-1 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
11.12.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-1 HT 1-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
08.04.2022 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-2 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
26.11.2021 Moreirense Moreirense 2-2 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
11.04.2021 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-2 HT 0-1 Moreirense Moreirense POR
05.12.2020 Moreirense Moreirense 1-1 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moreirense
3-2
AWAY Gil Vicente
1.10 xG 0.80
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
366 Passes 320
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Moreirense vs Gil Vicente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreirense edged past Gil Vicente 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Moreirense as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Moreirense had 53% of the ball to Gil Vicente's 47%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.10 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moreirense had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Moreirense and 1.17 for Gil Vicente.

What was the final score of Moreirense vs Gil Vicente?

Moreirense 3-2 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Premier League on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreirense vs Gil Vicente?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreirense win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Moreirense 47%, draw 27%, Gil Vicente 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreirense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moreirense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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