Moreirense 0-1 Gil Vicente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 20 Apr 2024

Moreirense
0-1 HT 0-1
Gil Vicente
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Moreirense vs Gil Vicente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.44
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.58
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.35
X/1
15%
5.08
X/2
13%
5.81
X/X
15%
3.94
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
11%
4.34
2/X
5%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moreirense v Gil Vicente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreirense EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -23%
1.32/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.39
-3% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
20.5 Crosses 17.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

Moreirense vs Gil Vicente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreirense
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Gil Vicente
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.30 xG 1.28
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
266 Passes 370
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.12.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-1 HT 1-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
08.04.2022 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-2 HT 0-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
26.11.2021 Moreirense Moreirense 2-2 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
11.04.2021 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-2 HT 0-1 Moreirense Moreirense POR
05.12.2020 Moreirense Moreirense 1-1 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
02.02.2020 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-5 HT 0-2 Moreirense Moreirense POR

Moreirense 0-1 Gil Vicente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moreirense
0-1
AWAY Gil Vicente
0.61 xG 0.60
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
527 Passes 177
87% Pass Accuracy 67%
19 Box Touches 9
36 Crosses 4
POST-MATCH Moreirense vs Gil Vicente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente squeezed past Moreirense 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Gil Vicente found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Moreirense had 70% of the ball to Gil Vicente's 30%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 0.61 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moreirense had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Moreirense and 1.17 for Gil Vicente.

What was the final score of Moreirense vs Gil Vicente?

Moreirense 0-1 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreirense vs Gil Vicente?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreirense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Moreirense 40%, draw 28%, Gil Vicente 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Moreirense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moreirense) ✓ Under 2.5
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