Sporting Braga vs Vizela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Braga v Vizela — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Braga vs Vizela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Sporting Braga
POR
0-4
HT 0-1
Sporting Braga
POR
2-0
HT 0-0
Vizela
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Sporting Braga
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Sporting Braga
POK
4-1
HT 2-0
Vizela
POR
Sporting Braga 2-1 Vizela — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Braga squeezed past Vizela 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Braga as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Sporting Braga had 58% of the ball to Vizela's 42%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 2.80 to 0.78 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sporting Braga's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sporting Braga and 0.50 for Vizela.
What was the final score of Sporting Braga vs Vizela?
Sporting Braga 2-1 Vizela in the Portugal - Premier League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Braga vs Vizela?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga 63%, draw 21%, Vizela 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.