Kasımpaşa 1-2 Kayserispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 8 Nov 2024

Kasımpaşa
1-2 HT 0-1
Kayserispor
📅08/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.32
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.75
X/1
14%
4.21
X/2
13%
8.79
X/X
11%
5.12
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
9%
6.5
2/X
6%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kasımpaşa v Kayserispor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 26%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.61/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.55
-17% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
23.3 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasımpaşa
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kayserispor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.28 xG 1.42
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
325 Passes 314
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.04.2024 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-2 HT 0-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
11.11.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 3-4 HT 1-3 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
19.04.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-0 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
23.10.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 0-1 HT 0-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
23.01.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 3-1 HT 2-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
11.09.2021 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-0 HT 1-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL

Kasımpaşa 1-2 Kayserispor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasımpaşa
1-2
AWAY Kayserispor
1.25 xG 1.21
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
502 Passes 179
85% Pass Accuracy 63%
29 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kayserispor edged past Kasımpaşa 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kasımpaşa at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kasımpaşa had 68% of the ball to Kayserispor's 32%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.25 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kayserispor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kasımpaşa and 1.33 for Kayserispor.

What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor?

Kasımpaşa 1-2 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Kayserispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 43%, draw 28%, Kayserispor 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kasımpaşa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kasımpaşa) ✓ BTTS Yes
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