Kayserispor 0-2 Kasımpaşa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 3 Apr 2024

Kayserispor
0-2 HT 0-1
Kasımpaşa
📅03/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Kayserispor vs Kasımpaşa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
2.79
6+ Goals
10%
7.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.72
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
15%
4.95
X/2
12%
7.2
X/X
14%
5.63
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.85
2/2
15%
4.57
2/X
5%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.8pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kayserispor v Kasımpaşa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.66/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.62
+9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
24.2 Crosses 19.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4

Kayserispor vs Kasımpaşa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kayserispor
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Kasımpaşa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.65 xG 1.22
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
298 Passes 347
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 3-4 HT 1-3 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
19.04.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-0 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
23.10.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 0-1 HT 0-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
23.01.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 3-1 HT 2-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
11.09.2021 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-0 HT 1-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
30.01.2021 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 0-1 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL

Kayserispor 0-2 Kasımpaşa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kayserispor
0-2
AWAY Kasımpaşa
0.86 xG 1.43
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
362 Passes 256
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kayserispor vs Kasımpaşa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kasımpaşa saw off Kayserispor 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kayserispor at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kayserispor had 56% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 44%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 0.86 to 1.43.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kayserispor had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kayserispor and 1.00 for Kasımpaşa.

What was the final score of Kayserispor vs Kasımpaşa?

Kayserispor 0-2 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kayserispor vs Kasımpaşa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kayserispor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kayserispor 41%, draw 25%, Kasımpaşa 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kayserispor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
3 Apr 2024
17:00 Sivasspor vs Fatih Karagümrük Analysis →
20:30 Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor Analysis →
20:30 Fenerbahçe vs Adana Demirspor Analysis →