Fenerbahçe 4-2 Adana Demirspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.32
Draw
26%
4.95
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.84
2-3 Goals
36%
2.05
4-5 Goals
31%
2.6
6+ Goals
12%
5.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.51
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
21.85
X/1
20%
3.59
X/2
6%
18.5
X/X
13%
8.62
2/1
8%
20.3
2/2
8%
13.15
2/X
6%
21.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-14.7pp
26%
Draw
17%
+8.7pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Adana Demirspor EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.36/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/2.08
+20% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
422 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
32.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
21.7 Crosses 13.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Adana Demirspor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.91 xG 1.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
376 Passes 308
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.11.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
02.02.2023 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
22.08.2022 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 4-2 HT 2-0 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
10.01.2022 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 1-2 HT 1-1 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor TSL
15.08.2021 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
13.12.2017 Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor 1-4 HT 1-2 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
4-2
AWAY Adana Demirspor
3.11 xG 1.95
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
355 Passes 242
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
37 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs Adana Demirspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe saw off Adana Demirspor 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Fenerbahçe had 58% of the ball to Adana Demirspor's 42%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 3.11 to 1.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fenerbahçe and 1.00 for Adana Demirspor.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Adana Demirspor?

Fenerbahçe 4-2 Adana Demirspor in the Turkey - Super League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Adana Demirspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 56%, draw 26%, Adana Demirspor 18%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
3 Apr 2024
17:00 Sivasspor vs Fatih Karagümrük Analysis →
20:30 Konyaspor vs Trabzonspor Analysis →
20:30 Kayserispor vs Kasımpaşa Analysis →