Sivasspor vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sivasspor v Fatih Karagümrük — Team-Based Signals
Sivasspor vs Fatih Karagümrük Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Sivasspor
TSL
4-3
HT 1-1
Sivasspor
TSL
0-0
HT 0-0
Fatih Karagümrük
TSL
1-0
HT 0-0
Fatih Karagümrük
TÜK
1-0
HT 0-0
Sivasspor
TSL
4-0
HT 1-0
Fatih Karagümrük
TSL
Sivasspor 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük — Actual Match Statistics
Sivasspor edged past Fatih Karagümrük 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sivasspor as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Sivasspor had 50% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 50%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 2.91 to 1.66 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sivasspor's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sivasspor and 1.33 for Fatih Karagümrük.
What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Sivasspor 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - Super League on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 43%, draw 26%, Fatih Karagümrük 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sivasspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.