Bright Stars 1-0 Kitara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.1pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bright Stars EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitara EU Bookmakers 37%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -51% / -51%
0.61/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-47% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bright Stars
1-0
AWAY Kitara
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bright Stars vs Kitara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bright Stars nicked a narrow win over Kitara 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bright Stars as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bright Stars had 36% of the ball to Kitara's 64%, shots finished 5-17.

What was the final score of Bright Stars vs Kitara?

Bright Stars 1-0 Kitara in the Uganda - Premier League on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bright Stars vs Kitara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bright Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bright Stars 42%, draw 28%, Kitara 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bright Stars), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bright Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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