Express 1-0 SC Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.64
Over 2.5
33%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.95
No
61%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
10%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.0pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.7pp
37%
Away Win
46%
-8.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
57%
+9.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
43%
-9.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.9pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Express EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Villa EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.65/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.65
+91% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +45%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Express
1W-1D-1L
AWAY SC Villa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
09.03.2024 SC Villa SC Villa 1-0 HT 1-0 Express Express UGA
09.04.2022 SC Villa SC Villa 1-2 HT 1-2 Express Express UGA
20.11.2021 Express Express 0-0 HT 0-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Express
1-0
AWAY SC Villa
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Express vs SC Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Express nicked a narrow win over SC Villa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 32% / 37% — and on the day Express made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Express had 50% of the ball to SC Villa's 50%, shots finished 5-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Express and 0.67 for SC Villa.

What was the final score of Express vs SC Villa?

Express 1-0 SC Villa in the Uganda - Premier League on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Express vs SC Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated an SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Express 31%, draw 32%, SC Villa 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (SC Villa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SC Villa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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