Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 Vorskla Poltava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 8 Nov 2024

📅08/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+6.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 48%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.10/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.12
+9% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Vorskla Poltava
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
27.08.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 2-1 HT 2-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
16.04.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
08.10.2022 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 2-1 HT 0-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
01.11.2021 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 0-0 HT 0-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
25.05.2019 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-2 HT 0-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
0-1
AWAY Vorskla Poltava
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chornomorets Odessa vs Vorskla Poltava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vorskla Poltava squeezed past Chornomorets Odessa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Vorskla Poltava found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chornomorets Odessa had 40% of the ball to Vorskla Poltava's 60%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vorskla Poltava led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chornomorets Odessa and 1.17 for Vorskla Poltava.

What was the final score of Chornomorets Odessa vs Vorskla Poltava?

Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 Vorskla Poltava in the Ukraine - Premier League on 08/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chornomorets Odessa vs Vorskla Poltava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vorskla Poltava win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chornomorets Odessa 35%, draw 27%, Vorskla Poltava 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vorskla Poltava), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vorskla Poltava) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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