Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 Vorskla Poltava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.78
Over 2.5
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-2.5pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.8pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.1pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 38%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
1.11/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.13
-7% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Vorskla Poltava
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
27.08.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 2-1 HT 2-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
16.04.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
08.10.2022 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 2-1 HT 0-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
01.11.2021 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 0-0 HT 0-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
25.05.2019 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-2 HT 0-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
27.04.2019 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-2 HT 1-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
0-1
AWAY Vorskla Poltava
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Chornomorets Odessa vs Vorskla Poltava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vorskla Poltava nicked a narrow win over Chornomorets Odessa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Vorskla Poltava made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Chornomorets Odessa had 52% of the ball to Vorskla Poltava's 48%, shots finished 13-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vorskla Poltava led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chornomorets Odessa and 1.33 for Vorskla Poltava.

What was the final score of Chornomorets Odessa vs Vorskla Poltava?

Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 Vorskla Poltava in the Ukraine - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chornomorets Odessa vs Vorskla Poltava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chornomorets Odessa win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Chornomorets Odessa 35%, draw 32%, Vorskla Poltava 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chornomorets Odessa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chornomorets Odessa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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