Polessya 1-2 Oleksandria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
42%
2.94
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.36
Over 2.5
29%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.51
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
34%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.6pp
42%
Draw
30%
+12.0pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.4pp
71%
Under 2.5
70%
+0.7pp
29%
Over 2.5
30%
-0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.4pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polessya EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Oleksandria EU Bookmakers 27%
-65% / -65% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.11
-100% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polessya
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Oleksandria
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
02.11.2023 Polessya Polessya 0-0 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKRK
26.08.2023 Oleksandria Oleksandria 0-3 HT 0-0 Polessya Polessya UKR
POST-MATCH Polessya vs Oleksandria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oleksandria squeezed past Polessya 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Polessya had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Polessya and 0.00 for Oleksandria.

What was the final score of Polessya vs Oleksandria?

Polessya 1-2 Oleksandria in the Ukraine - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polessya vs Oleksandria?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Polessya 36%, draw 42%, Oleksandria 21%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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