Sunderland vs Arsenal Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sunderland v Arsenal — Team-Based Signals
Sunderland vs Arsenal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-1
HT 2-1
Sunderland
İNLK
2-0
HT 0-0
Sunderland
İNP
1-4
HT 0-1
Arsenal
İNP
0-0
HT 0-0
Arsenal
İNP
3-1
HT 1-1
Sunderland
FAK
3-1
HT 1-1
Sunderland
İNP
Sunderland 2-2 Arsenal — Actual Match Statistics
Sunderland and Arsenal shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Arsenal carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sunderland had 35% of the ball to Arsenal's 65%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.42 to 1.91.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sunderland and 2.83 for Arsenal.
What was the final score of Sunderland vs Arsenal?
Sunderland 2-2 Arsenal in the England - Premier League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sunderland vs Arsenal?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Sunderland 17%, draw 21%, Arsenal 62%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.