West Ham United 3-2 Burnley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 8 Nov 2025

West Ham United
3-2 HT 1-1
Burnley
📅08/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2025/2026

West Ham United vs Burnley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.82
Over
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
29%
3.12
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
20%
3.63
6+
10%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.12 — our 29% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.51
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.85
X/1
19%
4.45
X/2
11%
8.33
X/X
12%
4.78
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
11%
6.59
2/X
7%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-2.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

West Ham United v Burnley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -5%
1.48/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.32
-9% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
21.4 Crosses 17.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

West Ham United vs Burnley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Burnley
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.68 xG 1.22
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
358 Passes 297
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
33 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.03.2024 West Ham United West Ham United 2-2 HT 0-2 Burnley Burnley İNP
25.11.2023 Burnley Burnley 1-2 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
17.04.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 1-1 HT 0-1 Burnley Burnley İNP
12.12.2021 Burnley Burnley 0-0 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
03.05.2021 Burnley Burnley 1-2 HT 1-2 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
16.01.2021 West Ham United West Ham United 1-0 HT 1-0 Burnley Burnley İNP

West Ham United 3-2 Burnley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United
3-2
AWAY Burnley
3.06 xG 1.06
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
308 Passes 440
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH West Ham United vs Burnley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United nicked a narrow win over Burnley 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had West Ham United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, West Ham United had 43% of the ball to Burnley's 57%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 3.06 to 1.06 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold West Ham United's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Ham United had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for West Ham United and 0.83 for Burnley.

What was the final score of West Ham United vs Burnley?

West Ham United 3-2 Burnley in the England - Premier League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Burnley?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Ham United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 48%, draw 25%, Burnley 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (West Ham United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (West Ham United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
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