West Ham United 2-2 Burnley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 10 Mar 2024

West Ham United
2-2 HT 0-2
Burnley
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2023/2024

West Ham United vs Burnley Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.64
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.32
6+ Goals
11%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 27% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.1
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.05
X/1
14%
3.91
X/2
8%
10.05
X/X
11%
5.33
2/1
10%
22.7
2/2
14%
7.73
2/X
6%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

West Ham United v Burnley — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME West Ham United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley EU Bookmakers 23%
+4% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -6%
1.63/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.53
-3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +20%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
407 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
23.8 Crosses 17.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

West Ham United vs Burnley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME West Ham United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Burnley
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.59 xG 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
358 Passes 298
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
35 Box Touches 18
31 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Burnley Burnley 1-2 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
17.04.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 1-1 HT 0-1 Burnley Burnley İNP
12.12.2021 Burnley Burnley 0-0 HT 0-0 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
03.05.2021 Burnley Burnley 1-2 HT 1-2 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
16.01.2021 West Ham United West Ham United 1-0 HT 1-0 Burnley Burnley İNP
08.07.2020 West Ham United West Ham United 0-1 HT 0-1 Burnley Burnley İNP

West Ham United 2-2 Burnley — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME West Ham United
2-2
AWAY Burnley
2.11 xG 0.68
52% Ball Possession 48%
22 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
321 Passes 299
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
34 Box Touches 23
26 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH West Ham United vs Burnley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United and Burnley couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was West Ham United at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, West Ham United had 52% of the ball to Burnley's 48%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.11 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Ham United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for West Ham United and 0.67 for Burnley.

What was the final score of West Ham United vs Burnley?

West Ham United 2-2 Burnley in the England - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Burnley?

Before kick-off our model rated a West Ham United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 49%, draw 24%, Burnley 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (West Ham United) ✗ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
10 Mar 2024
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