West Ham United vs Burnley Prediction — Model Probabilities
West Ham United v Burnley — Team-Based Signals
West Ham United vs Burnley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
West Ham United 2-2 Burnley — Actual Match Statistics
West Ham United and Burnley finished all square at 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had West Ham United at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.
On the day, West Ham United had 52% of the ball to Burnley's 48%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.11 to 0.68.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Ham United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for West Ham United and 0.67 for Burnley.
West Ham United vs Burnley Result & Final Score
West Ham United 2 - 2 Burnley in the England - Premier League on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
West Ham United vs Burnley Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a West Ham United win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 59%, draw 23%, Burnley 18%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (West Ham United) went the other way.