Vasteras SK FK 4-1 Varbergs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.77
6+ Goals
13%
7.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.0
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.0
X/1
16%
4.29
X/2
5%
10.7
X/X
10%
6.45
2/1 EV+ ✓
14%
20.15
2/2
9%
7.94
2/X
10%
16.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.15 — our 14% vs market 2.7%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.7pp
18%
Away Win
19%
-1.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.0pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.99/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.46
+6% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
428 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasteras SK FK
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Varbergs
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2025 Varbergs Varbergs 1-0 HT 0-0 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇ2
26.02.2023 Varbergs Varbergs 0-2 HT 0-2 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasteras SK FK
4-1
AWAY Varbergs
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Vasteras SK FK vs Varbergs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasteras SK FK ran out comfortable winners over Varbergs 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vasteras SK FK as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vasteras SK FK had 58% of the ball to Varbergs's 42%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vasteras SK FK and 0.50 for Varbergs.

What was the final score of Vasteras SK FK vs Varbergs?

Vasteras SK FK 4-1 Varbergs in the Sweden - Superettan on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasteras SK FK vs Varbergs?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasteras SK FK win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Vasteras SK FK 54%, draw 28%, Varbergs 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasteras SK FK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vasteras SK FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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