Varbergs 1-0 Vasteras SK FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 15 Jun 2025

Varbergs
1-0 HT 0-0
Vasteras SK FK
📅15/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Sweden - Superettan – 2025

Varbergs vs Vasteras SK FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.75
No
56%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.63
6+ Goals
8%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 31% vs market 26.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.66
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
8%
13.6
X/1
13%
5.45
X/2
13%
5.83
X/X
11%
4.59
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
16%
4.06
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.8pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Varbergs v Vasteras SK FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasteras SK FK EU Bookmakers 38%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.67/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.58
+10% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2

Varbergs vs Vasteras SK FK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.02.2023 Varbergs Varbergs 0-2 HT 0-2 Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK İSÇK

Varbergs 1-0 Vasteras SK FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varbergs
1-0
AWAY Vasteras SK FK
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Varbergs vs Vasteras SK FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs squeezed past Vasteras SK FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Varbergs made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Varbergs had 52% of the ball to Vasteras SK FK's 48%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Varbergs vs Vasteras SK FK?

Varbergs 1-0 Vasteras SK FK in the Sweden - Superettan on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs vs Vasteras SK FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Varbergs 39%, draw 27%, Vasteras SK FK 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varbergs), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Varbergs) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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