IK Brage 3-2 Örgryte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 15 Jun 2025

📅15/06/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
8.09
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.25 — our 23% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.1
1/2
9%
23.75
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
10%
6.56
X/2
11%
5.64
X/X
10%
5.39
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
22%
3.24
2/X
7%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.6pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.4pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Brage EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Örgryte EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -5%
1.48/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.50
+2% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
317 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Brage
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Örgryte
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2025 Örgryte Örgryte 3-1 HT 3-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇK
01.09.2024 IK Brage IK Brage 0-2 HT 0-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
15.04.2024 Örgryte Örgryte 1-2 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
29.07.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 1-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
09.07.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 4-1 HT 2-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
01.10.2022 Örgryte Örgryte 4-0 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
POST-MATCH IK Brage vs Örgryte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Brage edged past Örgryte 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Örgryte at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Örgryte led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for IK Brage and 2.00 for Örgryte.

What was the final score of IK Brage vs Örgryte?

IK Brage 3-2 Örgryte in the Sweden - Superettan on 15/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Brage vs Örgryte?

Before kick-off our model rated an Örgryte win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split IK Brage 35%, draw 22%, Örgryte 42%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Örgryte), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Örgryte) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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