Örgryte 3-1 IK Brage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-11.1pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örgryte EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Brage EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.53/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/3.00
-7% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -46%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örgryte
2W-1D-3L
AWAY IK Brage
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 IK Brage IK Brage 0-2 HT 0-1 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
15.04.2024 Örgryte Örgryte 1-2 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
29.07.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 1-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
09.07.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 4-1 HT 2-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
01.10.2022 Örgryte Örgryte 4-0 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
08.05.2022 IK Brage IK Brage 4-0 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örgryte
3-1
AWAY IK Brage
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Örgryte vs IK Brage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örgryte beat IK Brage 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Örgryte found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Örgryte had 42% of the ball to IK Brage's 58%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IK Brage led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Örgryte and 1.83 for IK Brage.

What was the final score of Örgryte vs IK Brage?

Örgryte 3-1 IK Brage in the Sweden - Cup on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örgryte vs IK Brage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örgryte win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Örgryte 37%, draw 30%, IK Brage 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Örgryte), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Örgryte) ✓ BTTS Yes
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