Örgryte 1-2 IK Brage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.97
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.93
6+ Goals
10%
17.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.74
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
10%
6.45
X/2
16%
4.85
X/X
14%
4.23
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.16
2/X
9%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örgryte EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Brage EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.38/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.36
-4% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
270 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örgryte
2W-2D-2L
AWAY IK Brage
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.07.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 1-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
09.07.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 4-1 HT 2-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
01.10.2022 Örgryte Örgryte 4-0 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
08.05.2022 IK Brage IK Brage 4-0 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
14.08.2021 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
19.06.2021 IK Brage IK Brage 1-3 HT 0-3 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Örgryte vs IK Brage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Brage squeezed past Örgryte 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had IK Brage as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Örgryte and 1.83 for IK Brage.

What was the final score of Örgryte vs IK Brage?

Örgryte 1-2 IK Brage in the Sweden - Superettan on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örgryte vs IK Brage?

Before kick-off our model rated an IK Brage win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Örgryte 29%, draw 30%, IK Brage 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Brage) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IK Brage) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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