Gefle 2-2 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 15 Apr 2024

Gefle
2-2 HT 1-2
Degerfors
📅15/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Gefle vs Degerfors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.5
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
50%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
27%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
15.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.26
1/2
8%
24.45
1/X
8%
14.75
X/1
5%
8.15
X/2
21%
4.16
X/X
16%
4.82
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.45
2/X
6%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
25%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.5pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gefle v Degerfors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gefle EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 54%
+11% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.82/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.56/1.23
+32% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards –

Gefle vs Degerfors Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gefle
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Degerfors
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
The Meetings
03.11.2018 Degerfors Degerfors 4-0 HT 2-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
14.04.2018 Gefle Gefle 0-1 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
29.10.2017 Gefle Gefle 1-1 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ2
10.06.2017 Degerfors Degerfors 2-0 HT 1-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2

Gefle 2-2 Degerfors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gefle
2-2
AWAY Degerfors
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gefle vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gefle and Degerfors couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Degerfors at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gefle had 57% of the ball to Degerfors's 43%, shots finished 9-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Degerfors led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Gefle and 2.00 for Degerfors.

What was the final score of Gefle vs Degerfors?

Gefle 2-2 Degerfors in the Sweden - Superettan on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gefle vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Degerfors win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gefle 20%, draw 30%, Degerfors 50%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Degerfors) ✗ Under 2.5
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