Elfsborg 1-1 Brommapojkarna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Cup, 1 Mar 2025

Elfsborg
1-1 HT 1-0
Brommapojkarna
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Sweden - Cup – 2024/2025

Elfsborg vs Brommapojkarna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
3.91
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.9
6+ Goals
10%
8.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.91 — our 23% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.6pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.7pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elfsborg v Brommapojkarna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
2.38/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.96
+17% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +82%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
391 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.0

Elfsborg vs Brommapojkarna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Brommapojkarna
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.16 xG 1.07
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
337 Passes 394
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.09.2024 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 3-3 HT 2-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
06.07.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-0 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
08.10.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-3 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
15.04.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 5-0 HT 2-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
05.11.2018 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-2 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
19.04.2018 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-2 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ

Elfsborg 1-1 Brommapojkarna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
1-1
AWAY Brommapojkarna
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Elfsborg vs Brommapojkarna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg and Brommapojkarna shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Elfsborg at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Elfsborg had 51% of the ball to Brommapojkarna's 49%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Elfsborg and 0.83 for Brommapojkarna.

What was the final score of Elfsborg vs Brommapojkarna?

Elfsborg 1-1 Brommapojkarna in the Sweden - Cup on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs Brommapojkarna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 54%, draw 25%, Brommapojkarna 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Elfsborg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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