Brommapojkarna 3-3 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 1 Sep 2024

Brommapojkarna
3-3 HT 2-1
Elfsborg
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Brommapojkarna vs Elfsborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.88
1/2
7%
23.6
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1 EV+ ✗
17%
6.31
X/2
10%
5.4
X/X
11%
5.51
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
19%
3.13
2/X
5%
12.55
Value flag · X/1 at 6.31 — our 17% vs market 11.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.0pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brommapojkarna v Elfsborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.34/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.21
-28% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
24.1 Crosses 19.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Brommapojkarna vs Elfsborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brommapojkarna
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Elfsborg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.92 xG 2.05
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
404 Passes 327
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.07.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-0 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
08.10.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-3 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
15.04.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 5-0 HT 2-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
05.11.2018 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-2 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
19.04.2018 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-2 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
12.03.2017 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-2 HT 1-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇK

Brommapojkarna 3-3 Elfsborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brommapojkarna
3-3
AWAY Elfsborg
1.68 xG 2.63
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 13
347 Passes 386
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 34
28 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brommapojkarna vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brommapojkarna and Elfsborg couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Brommapojkarna had 48% of the ball to Elfsborg's 52%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.68 to 2.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Brommapojkarna and 2.50 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of Brommapojkarna vs Elfsborg?

Brommapojkarna 3-3 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brommapojkarna vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brommapojkarna win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Brommapojkarna 39%, draw 24%, Elfsborg 36%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brommapojkarna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brommapojkarna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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