Göteborg 0-1 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.63
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 26% vs market 22.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.55
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
8%
5.44
X/2
14%
5.62
X/X
13%
4.91
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
21%
3.71
2/X
6%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göteborg EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
1.41/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.29
-15% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
20.6 Crosses 18.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göteborg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hammarby
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.32 xG 1.54
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
325 Passes 400
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.07.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 0-1 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
01.10.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 1-1 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
21.05.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 1-1 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
15.08.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 0-1 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
11.07.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 3-0 HT 1-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
23.09.2021 Hammarby Hammarby 3-0 HT 2-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göteborg
0-1
AWAY Hammarby
0.29 xG 1.26
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 18
0 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
208 Passes 404
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Göteborg vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby edged past Göteborg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hammarby as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Göteborg had 37% of the ball to Hammarby's 63%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.29 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Göteborg and 1.50 for Hammarby.

What was the final score of Göteborg vs Hammarby?

Göteborg 0-1 Hammarby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göteborg vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Göteborg 33%, draw 26%, Hammarby 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby) ✗ BTTS Yes
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