Malmö FF 4-0 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 1 Sep 2024

Malmö FF
4-0 HT 3-0
Djurgarden
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Malmö FF vs Djurgarden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
30%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.71
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.98
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.95
X/1
14%
3.78
X/2
9%
10.95
X/X
9%
5.6
2/1
6%
22.7
2/2
15%
8.55
2/X
7%
16.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
59%
-14.5pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
30%
Away Win
18%
+11.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Malmö FF v Djurgarden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.84/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.34
+1% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
32.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
23.4 Crosses 17.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Malmö FF vs Djurgarden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Djurgarden
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.95 xG 0.99
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
487 Passes 273
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.05.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-1 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇK
25.04.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-1 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
20.08.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 0-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
17.07.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-0 HT 1-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
12.03.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-2 HT 0-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇK
20.10.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-3 HT 2-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ

Malmö FF 4-0 Djurgarden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
4-0
AWAY Djurgarden
1.73 xG 1.55
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
428 Passes 317
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 22
5 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF cruised past Djurgarden 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Malmö FF had 56% of the ball to Djurgarden's 44%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.73 to 1.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Malmö FF and 1.33 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs Djurgarden?

Malmö FF 4-0 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 45%, draw 25%, Djurgarden 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
1 Sep 2024
15:00 Brommapojkarna vs Elfsborg Analysis →
17:30 Norrköping vs Hacken Analysis →
17:30 Göteborg vs Hammarby Analysis →