IK Brage 0-2 Örgryte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 1 Sep 2024

IK Brage
0-2 HT 0-1
Örgryte
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

IK Brage vs Örgryte Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.33
Over 2.5
47%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.56
No
54%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.0
2-3 Goals
42%
1.95
4-5 Goals
22%
2.76
6+ Goals
9%
7.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.0 — our 27% vs market 15.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.07
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.15
X/1
14%
4.21
X/2
9%
10.1
X/X
12%
6.11
2/1
7%
20.4
2/2
11%
6.87
2/X
6%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
39%
+14.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
61%
-14.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.0pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Brage v Örgryte — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Brage EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Örgryte EU Bookmakers 24%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.11/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.60
+25% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

IK Brage vs Örgryte Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Brage
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Örgryte
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.04.2024 Örgryte Örgryte 1-2 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
29.07.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 1-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
09.07.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 4-1 HT 2-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
01.10.2022 Örgryte Örgryte 4-0 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
08.05.2022 IK Brage IK Brage 4-0 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
14.08.2021 Örgryte Örgryte 1-1 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
POST-MATCH IK Brage vs Örgryte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örgryte got the better of IK Brage 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was IK Brage at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IK Brage had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for IK Brage and 1.33 for Örgryte.

What was the final score of IK Brage vs Örgryte?

IK Brage 0-2 Örgryte in the Sweden - Superettan on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Brage vs Örgryte?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Brage win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split IK Brage 48%, draw 25%, Örgryte 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (IK Brage) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Brage) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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