Skövde AIK 0-1 Gefle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.71
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.27
6+ Goals
12%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.58
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
15%
5.57
X/2
14%
5.7
X/X
10%
4.84
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
17%
3.7
2/X
7%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skövde AIK EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gefle EU Bookmakers 37%
+20% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.86/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.45
+26% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
241 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skövde AIK
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Gefle
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
44% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Gefle Gefle 2-0 HT 0-0 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
07.10.2023 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 3-1 HT 2-1 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
14.05.2023 Gefle Gefle 4-1 HT 2-1 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Skövde AIK
0-1
AWAY Gefle
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Skövde AIK vs Gefle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gefle nicked a narrow win over Skövde AIK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Gefle made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Skövde AIK had 46% of the ball to Gefle's 54%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gefle led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Skövde AIK and 2.33 for Gefle.

What was the final score of Skövde AIK vs Gefle?

Skövde AIK 0-1 Gefle in the Sweden - Superettan on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skövde AIK vs Gefle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skövde AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Skövde AIK 39%, draw 24%, Gefle 38%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Skövde AIK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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