Gefle 2-0 Skövde AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 12 May 2024

Gefle
2-0 HT 0-0
Skövde AIK
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Gefle vs Skövde AIK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.72
6+ Goals
10%
15.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.89
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
16%
4.56
X/2
9%
6.81
X/X
13%
4.56
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
12%
5.07
2/X
6%
13.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gefle v Skövde AIK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gefle EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Skövde AIK EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +6%
1.77/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.48
+14% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5

Gefle vs Skövde AIK Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gefle
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Skövde AIK
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 3-1 HT 2-1 Gefle Gefle İSÇ2
14.05.2023 Gefle Gefle 4-1 HT 2-1 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Gefle vs Skövde AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gefle saw off Skövde AIK 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gefle as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Gefle and 2.00 for Skövde AIK.

What was the final score of Gefle vs Skövde AIK?

Gefle 2-0 Skövde AIK in the Sweden - Superettan on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gefle vs Skövde AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gefle win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gefle 45%, draw 27%, Skövde AIK 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gefle) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gefle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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