Helsingborgs IF 2-2 Sandvikens IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 12 May 2024

Helsingborgs IF
2-2 HT 1-0
Sandvikens IF
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Helsingborgs IF vs Sandvikens IF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 27% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.47
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
12%
4.27
X/2
11%
8.19
X/X
14%
4.78
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
9%
6.17
2/X
6%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Helsingborgs IF v Sandvikens IF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helsingborgs IF EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandvikens IF EU Bookmakers 27%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.46/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.37
-9% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Helsingborgs IF vs Sandvikens IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helsingborgs IF and Sandvikens IF shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Helsingborgs IF at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Helsingborgs IF vs Sandvikens IF?

Helsingborgs IF 2-2 Sandvikens IF in the Sweden - Superettan on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helsingborgs IF vs Sandvikens IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Helsingborgs IF win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Helsingborgs IF 44%, draw 27%, Sandvikens IF 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Helsingborgs IF) ✗ Under 2.5
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