IK Brage 2-1 Östersunds FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 12 May 2024

IK Brage
2-1 HT 2-1
Östersunds FK
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

IK Brage vs Östersunds FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.71
6+ Goals
9%
15.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 28% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.54
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
9%
4.34
X/2
8%
8.21
X/X
8%
4.45
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2 EV+ ✗
19%
6.28
2/X
7%
13.9
Value flag · 2/2 at 6.28 — our 19% vs market 11.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Brage v Östersunds FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Brage EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.66/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.09
+4% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +46%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

IK Brage vs Östersunds FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Brage
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Östersunds FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.09.2023 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-0 HT 1-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
31.05.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 2-1 HT 0-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
03.08.2022 IK Brage IK Brage 1-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
15.05.2022 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-3 HT 0-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
10.08.2013 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-0 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
15.04.2013 IK Brage IK Brage 0-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
POST-MATCH IK Brage vs Östersunds FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Brage edged past Östersunds FK 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had IK Brage as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, IK Brage had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IK Brage and 0.83 for Östersunds FK.

What was the final score of IK Brage vs Östersunds FK?

IK Brage 2-1 Östersunds FK in the Sweden - Superettan on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Brage vs Östersunds FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Brage win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split IK Brage 45%, draw 25%, Östersunds FK 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IK Brage) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IK Brage) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ2 More Sweden - Superettan
12 May 2024
14:00 Gefle vs Skövde AIK Analysis →
16:00 Helsingborgs IF vs Sandvikens IF Analysis →