Helsingborgs IF 0-3 Trelleborgs FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.08
6+ Goals
11%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 26% vs market 19.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.09
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
14%
4.03
X/2
8%
10.05
X/X
11%
5.57
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
14%
7.4
2/X
9%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helsingborgs IF EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +19%
1.19/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.54
-32% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helsingborgs IF
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Trelleborgs FF
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2024 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 0-0 HT 0-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
02.03.2024 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 2-1 HT 0-1 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇK
28.10.2023 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 0-0 HT 0-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
24.07.2023 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 1-3 HT 1-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
26.02.2023 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 1-3 HT 0-2 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇK
14.09.2021 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 1-1 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Helsingborgs IF vs Trelleborgs FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trelleborgs FF cruised past Helsingborgs IF 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Helsingborgs IF at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trelleborgs FF led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Helsingborgs IF and 1.50 for Trelleborgs FF.

What was the final score of Helsingborgs IF vs Trelleborgs FF?

Helsingborgs IF 0-3 Trelleborgs FF in the Sweden - Superettan on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helsingborgs IF vs Trelleborgs FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Helsingborgs IF win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Helsingborgs IF 46%, draw 26%, Trelleborgs FF 28%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Helsingborgs IF) ✗ Under 2.5
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