Celta Vigo II 4-3 Talavera CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 8 Nov 2025

Celta Vigo II
4-3 HT 0-3
Talavera CF
📅08/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2025/2026

Celta Vigo II vs Talavera CF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.56
Over
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2.32
2-3
43%
1.75
4-5
18%
4.78
6+
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
44%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Celta Vigo II v Talavera CF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.58/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.31
+16% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
456 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.0 Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8

Celta Vigo II vs Talavera CF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Talavera CF
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.04.2023 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 1-1 HT 0-1 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
07.12.2022 Talavera CF Talavera CF 1-0 HT 1-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
16.04.2022 Talavera CF Talavera CF 1-2 HT 0-0 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
03.04.2022 Talavera CF Talavera CF 1-1 HT 0-1 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
12.12.2021 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 2-0 HT 2-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3
24.10.2021 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 1-2 HT 0-2 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS3

Celta Vigo II 4-3 Talavera CF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo II
4-3
AWAY Talavera CF
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Celta Vigo II vs Talavera CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celta Vigo II nicked a narrow win over Talavera CF 4-3. It was 0-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celta Vigo II as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Celta Vigo II had 62% of the ball to Talavera CF's 38%, shots finished 15-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Celta Vigo II and 1.00 for Talavera CF.

What was the final score of Celta Vigo II vs Talavera CF?

Celta Vigo II 4-3 Talavera CF in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celta Vigo II vs Talavera CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo II 48%, draw 26%, Talavera CF 25%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celta Vigo II) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✗ Under 2.5
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