Teruel 1-2 Cartagena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
23%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
72%
1.44
Over
28%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1
46%
1.97
2-3
37%
1.8
4-5
12%
6.13
6+
5%
35.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 1.97 — our 46% vs market 42.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 72%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.6pp
36%
Draw
32%
+4.5pp
23%
Away Win
29%
-6.2pp
72%
Under 2.5
66%
+6.6pp
28%
Over 2.5
34%
-6.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.6pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teruel EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Cartagena EU Bookmakers 32%
+13% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.08/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.24/0.76
-15% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / +51%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
228 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Teruel
1-2
AWAY Cartagena
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Teruel vs Cartagena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cartagena edged past Teruel 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (41% / 36% / 23%) promised a tight game; Cartagena found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Teruel had 38% of the ball to Cartagena's 62%, shots finished 11-6.

What was the final score of Teruel vs Cartagena?

Teruel 1-2 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teruel vs Cartagena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Teruel win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Teruel 41%, draw 36%, Cartagena 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Teruel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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