Servette 0-1 Thun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.55
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.82
6+ Goals
13%
7.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.44
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
33.5
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
14%
4.76
X/2
13%
8.28
X/X
9%
5.93
2/1
10%
20.85
2/2
9%
5.71
2/X
10%
14.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 33.5 — our 9% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.1pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Servette EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +22%
1.91/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.29
-3% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
23.6 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Servette
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Thun
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
2.08 xG 1.37
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
372 Passes 287
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Thun Thun 3-1 HT 2-1 Servette Servette İSV
27.10.2021 Thun Thun 4-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSVK
22.07.2020 Thun Thun 5-1 HT 2-0 Servette Servette İSV
02.02.2020 Servette Servette 2-0 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV
14.12.2019 Servette Servette 2-1 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV
25.08.2019 Thun Thun 0-4 HT 0-2 Servette Servette İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Servette
0-1
AWAY Thun
1.09 xG 1.42
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
360 Passes 227
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
35 Box Touches 29
27 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Servette vs Thun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun squeezed past Servette 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Servette at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Servette had 60% of the ball to Thun's 40%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.09 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Servette and 2.17 for Thun.

What was the final score of Servette vs Thun?

Servette 0-1 Thun in the Switzerland - Super League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Servette vs Thun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Servette 45%, draw 24%, Thun 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Servette) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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