Thun 3-1 Servette — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.78
2-3 Goals
36%
1.96
4-5 Goals
31%
2.88
6+ Goals
12%
7.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.39
1/2
8%
24.85
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
10%
5.8
X/2
13%
6.14
X/X
7%
5.65
2/1
12%
23.55
2/2
15%
3.7
2/X
10%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-2.2pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thun EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Servette EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +18%
1.40/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.35
-1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
21.5 Crosses 21.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thun
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Servette
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.26 xG 2.08
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
294 Passes 374
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2021 Thun Thun 4-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSVK
22.07.2020 Thun Thun 5-1 HT 2-0 Servette Servette İSV
02.02.2020 Servette Servette 2-0 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV
14.12.2019 Servette Servette 2-1 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV
25.08.2019 Thun Thun 0-4 HT 0-2 Servette Servette İSV
31.01.2015 Thun Thun 1-0 HT 1-0 Servette Servette HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
3-1
AWAY Servette
1.81 xG 2.09
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
258 Passes 360
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Thun vs Servette
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun saw off Servette 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Thun as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Thun had 43% of the ball to Servette's 57%, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 1.81 to 2.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Thun and 1.67 for Servette.

What was the final score of Thun vs Servette?

Thun 3-1 Servette in the Switzerland - Super League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thun vs Servette?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Thun 41%, draw 24%, Servette 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thun), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV More Switzerland - Super League
18 Oct 2025
19:00 Basel vs Winterthur Analysis →
21:30 Lugano vs Zürich Analysis →