Lugano 1-0 Zürich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
49%
+3.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-2.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Zürich EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -14%
1.54/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.53
-11% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
18.7 Crosses 16.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Zürich
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.43 xG 1.06
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
378 Passes 259
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Lugano Lugano 0-3 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
24.11.2024 Lugano Lugano 4-1 HT 3-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
06.10.2024 Zürich Zürich 1-1 HT 1-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
20.05.2024 Zürich Zürich 2-1 HT 1-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
25.02.2024 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 1-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
12.11.2023 Lugano Lugano 0-3 HT 0-2 Zürich Zürich İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano
1-0
AWAY Zürich
0.95 xG 0.73
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 10
287 Passes 425
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
29 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Lugano vs Zürich
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Lugano edged past Zürich 1-0 in the Switzerland - Super League on 18 Oct 2025.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 55% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, Lugano had 43% of the ball to Zürich's 57%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.95 to 0.73.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lugano and 1.67 for Zürich.

What was the final score of Lugano vs Zürich?

Lugano 1-0 Zürich in the Switzerland - Super League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano vs Zürich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lugano 53%, draw 23%, Zürich 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugano) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lugano) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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