Lugano 4-1 Zürich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 24 Nov 2024

Lugano
4-1 HT 3-1
Zürich
📅24/11/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2024/2025

Lugano vs Zürich Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
14.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 27% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.85
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.55
X/1
16%
4.61
X/2
12%
7.06
X/X
10%
4.69
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
14%
5.2
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lugano v Zürich — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Zürich EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.30/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.29
-11% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
16.9 Crosses 16.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9

Lugano vs Zürich Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Zürich
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.41 xG 1.02
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
384 Passes 267
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2024 Zürich Zürich 1-1 HT 1-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
20.05.2024 Zürich Zürich 2-1 HT 1-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
25.02.2024 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 1-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
12.11.2023 Lugano Lugano 0-3 HT 0-2 Zürich Zürich İSV
05.08.2023 Zürich Zürich 3-0 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
29.05.2023 Zürich Zürich 2-3 HT 0-2 Lugano Lugano İSV

Lugano 4-1 Zürich — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano
4-1
AWAY Zürich
2.59 xG 1.14
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 1
412 Passes 327
89% Pass Accuracy 87%
26 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Lugano vs Zürich
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Lugano ran out comfortable winners over Zürich 4-1 in the Switzerland - Super League on 24 Nov 2024. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lugano had 55% of the ball to Zürich's 45%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.59 to 1.14.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lugano and 1.83 for Zürich.

What was the final score of Lugano vs Zürich?

Lugano 4-1 Zürich in the Switzerland - Super League on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano vs Zürich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lugano 45%, draw 23%, Zürich 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugano), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lugano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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