Zürich 2-1 Lugano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
43%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.15
6+ Goals
9%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 30% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.2
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.2
X/1
9%
5.31
X/2
17%
6.38
X/X
11%
4.84
2/1
5%
25.5
2/2
19%
4.16
2/X
6%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
41%
-8.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
43%
Away Win
32%
+10.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.8pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +22%
1.32/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.37
-4% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
17.7 Crosses 16.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Lugano
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.92 xG 1.22
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
286 Passes 316
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 4
25.02.2024 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 1-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
12.11.2023 Lugano Lugano 0-3 HT 0-2 Zürich Zürich İSV
05.08.2023 Zürich Zürich 3-0 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
29.05.2023 Zürich Zürich 2-3 HT 0-2 Lugano Lugano İSV
11.03.2023 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 2-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
06.11.2022 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 1-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zürich
2-1
AWAY Lugano
1.40 xG 1.36
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 30
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 12
276 Passes 457
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 46
9 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Zürich vs Lugano
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Zürich edged past Lugano 2-1 in the Switzerland - Super League on 20 May 2024. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Zürich had 40% of the ball to Lugano's 60%, shots finished 10-30, expected goals 1.40 to 1.36.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugano lead the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zürich and 1.50 for Lugano.

What was the final score of Zürich vs Lugano?

Zürich 2-1 Lugano in the Switzerland - Super League on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich vs Lugano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zürich 32%, draw 25%, Lugano 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lugano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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