Winterthur 1-3 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
40%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.89
Over 2.5
54%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.38
No
45%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.87
2-3 Goals
40%
2.17
4-5 Goals
27%
2.48
6+ Goals
10%
4.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.61
1/2 EV+ ✗
14%
20.05
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
14%
7.98
X/2
11%
5.15
X/X
9%
6.28
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
15%
2.51
2/X
10%
12.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.05 — our 14% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+6.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-6.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
31%
+15.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
69%
-15.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-13.0pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+13.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winterthur EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 51%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -27%
1.15/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.29
-6% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
15.8 Crosses 20.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winterthur
4W-1D-1L
AWAY St. Gallen
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.26 xG 1.68
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
242 Passes 314
66% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
17.02.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-2 HT 1-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
11.11.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 4-2 HT 3-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
22.10.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 2-1 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
16.04.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-3 HT 2-3 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
19.03.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
30.10.2022 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winterthur
1-3
AWAY St. Gallen
1.53 xG 1.49
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 2
409 Passes 328
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Winterthur vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Gallen saw off Winterthur 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day St. Gallen made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Winterthur had 54% of the ball to St. Gallen's 46%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.53 to 1.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Winterthur had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Winterthur and 1.50 for St. Gallen.

What was the final score of Winterthur vs St. Gallen?

Winterthur 1-3 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winterthur vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 35%, draw 25%, St. Gallen 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Gallen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Gallen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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