St. Gallen 2-2 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.79
6+ Goals
15%
7.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.64
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
17%
4.74
X/2
10%
7.13
X/X
12%
5.66
2/1
12%
21.6
2/2
10%
4.61
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.63/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.27
+4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
18.2 Crosses 16.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Gallen
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Winterthur
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.62 xG 1.21
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
313 Passes 214
75% Pass Accuracy 65%
28 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 4
11.11.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 4-2 HT 3-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
22.10.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 2-1 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
16.04.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-3 HT 2-3 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
19.03.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
30.10.2022 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
23.07.2022 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-0 HT 2-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Gallen
2-2
AWAY Winterthur
2.06 xG 1.06
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
259 Passes 363
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St. Gallen vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Gallen and Winterthur couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was St. Gallen at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, St. Gallen had 43% of the ball to Winterthur's 57%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.06 to 1.06.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Winterthur led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for St. Gallen and 1.50 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Winterthur?

St. Gallen 2-2 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 46%, draw 26%, Winterthur 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Gallen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Gallen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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