Grasshoppers 2-1 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 17 Feb 2024

Grasshoppers
2-1 HT 2-1
Basel
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2023/2024

Grasshoppers vs Basel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.68
Over 2.5
52%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.71
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
4.2
6+ Goals
11%
20.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.2 — our 26% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.16
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
31.0
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
10%
5.7
X/2
9%
5.13
X/X
11%
3.97
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
19%
3.58
2/X
8%
13.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.0 — our 9% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.9pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grasshoppers v Basel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.23/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.36
+47% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
17.5 Crosses 14.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Grasshoppers vs Basel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grasshoppers
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Basel
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.67 xG 1.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
253 Passes 363
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Basel Basel 0-1 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
06.08.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 3-1 HT 3-1 Basel Basel İSV
29.05.2023 Basel Basel 3-1 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
04.02.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
01.02.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 3-5 HT 1-2 Basel Basel İSVK
12.11.2022 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-0 HT 1-0 Basel Basel İSV

Grasshoppers 2-1 Basel — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grasshoppers
2-1
AWAY Basel
1.82 xG 0.47
31% Ball Possession 69%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
161 Passes 446
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Grasshoppers vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grasshoppers nicked a narrow win over Basel 2-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Grasshoppers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Grasshoppers had 31% of the ball to Basel's 69%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.82 to 0.47 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Grasshoppers's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grasshoppers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Grasshoppers and 1.50 for Basel.

What was the final score of Grasshoppers vs Basel?

Grasshoppers 2-1 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grasshoppers vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Grasshoppers 35%, draw 27%, Basel 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Basel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV More Switzerland - Super League
17 Feb 2024
20:00 Lausanne Sports vs Yverdon Analysis →
20:00 St. Gallen vs Winterthur Analysis →