Lugano 0-3 Zürich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 2 Mar 2025

Lugano
0-3 HT 0-1
Zürich
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2024/2025

Lugano vs Zürich Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
3.24
6+ Goals
12%
11.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.24 — our 29% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.66
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
13%
4.82
X/2
10%
7.59
X/X
10%
5.01
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.0
2/2
11%
5.4
2/X
8%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lugano v Zürich — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Zürich EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.43/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.44
-2% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
18.2 Crosses 16.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8

Lugano vs Zürich Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Zürich
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.46 xG 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
395 Passes 276
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.11.2024 Lugano Lugano 4-1 HT 3-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
06.10.2024 Zürich Zürich 1-1 HT 1-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
20.05.2024 Zürich Zürich 2-1 HT 1-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
25.02.2024 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 1-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
12.11.2023 Lugano Lugano 0-3 HT 0-2 Zürich Zürich İSV
05.08.2023 Zürich Zürich 3-0 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV

Lugano 0-3 Zürich — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano
0-3
AWAY Zürich
1.33 xG 1.39
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
296 Passes 171
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 9
5 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Lugano vs Zürich
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Zürich ran out comfortable winners over Lugano 3-0 away from home in the Switzerland - Super League on 2 Mar 2025. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 56% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Lugano had 60% of the ball to Zürich's 40%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.33 to 1.39.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lugano and 1.67 for Zürich.

What was the final score of Lugano vs Zürich?

Lugano 0-3 Zürich in the Switzerland - Super League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano vs Zürich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lugano 50%, draw 24%, Zürich 26%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Lugano), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugano) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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