Yverdon 2-2 Luzern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 27% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.57
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
9%
6.56
X/2
16%
5.14
X/X
9%
4.67
2/1
12%
31.0
2/2
14%
3.13
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yverdon EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern EU Bookmakers 45%
+21% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.42/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.30
+33% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
15.2 Crosses 19.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yverdon
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Luzern
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.22 xG 1.61
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
284 Passes 345
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Yverdon Yverdon 0-1 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
26.10.2024 Luzern Luzern 2-3 HT 0-2 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
18.05.2024 Yverdon Yverdon 3-1 HT 1-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
04.04.2024 Luzern Luzern 1-0 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
23.01.2024 Yverdon Yverdon 2-1 HT 1-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
22.10.2023 Luzern Luzern 2-1 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yverdon
2-2
AWAY Luzern
1.03 xG 2.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
228 Passes 275
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Yverdon vs Luzern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yverdon and Luzern shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Yverdon had 45% of the ball to Luzern's 55%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.03 to 2.17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Yverdon and 1.33 for Luzern.

What was the final score of Yverdon vs Luzern?

Yverdon 2-2 Luzern in the Switzerland - Super League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yverdon vs Luzern?

Before kick-off our model rated an Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Yverdon 36%, draw 25%, Luzern 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Luzern)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV More Switzerland - Super League
2 Mar 2025
16:15 Lugano vs Zürich Analysis →
18:30 Grasshoppers vs Young Boys Analysis →