Yverdon 0-1 Luzern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 30 Nov 2024

Yverdon
0 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Luzern
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
51%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.1
Over
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.59
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.17
2-3
45%
1.87
4-5
26%
3.09
6+
8%
9.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.51
1/2
3%
22.55
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
10%
7.92
X/2
18%
4.52
X/X
14%
5.43
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
30%
2.52
2/X
5%
13.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.55 — our 3% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Yverdon The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern The Market 53%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.42 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.78
1.86 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.84
Great Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Great
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 80%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yverdon
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Luzern
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.36 xG 1.58
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
284 Passes 355
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Luzern Luzern 2-3 HT 0-2 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
18.05.2024 Yverdon Yverdon 3-1 HT 1-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
04.04.2024 Luzern Luzern 1-0 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
23.01.2024 Yverdon Yverdon 2-1 HT 1-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
22.10.2023 Luzern Luzern 2-1 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yverdon
0 - 1
AWAY Luzern
0.50 xG 1.79
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
282 Passes 295
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 23
8 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Yverdon vs Luzern
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Luzern edged past Yverdon 1-0 on the road. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Luzern as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Yverdon had 49% of the ball to Luzern's 51%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.50 to 1.79 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Luzern's control.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Yverdon had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Yverdon and 1.40 for Luzern.

Yverdon vs Luzern Result & Final Score

Yverdon 0 - 1 Luzern in the Switzerland - Super League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Yverdon vs Luzern Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Yverdon 25%, draw 24%, Luzern 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Luzern) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Luzern) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İSV More Switzerland - Super League
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