Basel 1-1 Lausanne Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.98
6+ Goals
11%
8.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.53
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
18%
4.63
X/2
9%
7.96
X/X
10%
5.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.1
2/2
9%
5.4
2/X
8%
13.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.1 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.64/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.47
-1% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
19.7 Crosses 17.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Lausanne Sports
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.99 xG 1.70
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
368 Passes 308
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.07.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-2 HT 3-1 Basel Basel İSV
10.05.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
02.03.2024 Basel Basel 1-2 HT 0-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
29.10.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-0 HT 1-0 Basel Basel İSV
13.08.2023 Basel Basel 1-2 HT 0-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
08.05.2022 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
1-1
AWAY Lausanne Sports
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Basel vs Lausanne Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel and Lausanne Sports couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Basel at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Basel had 55% of the ball to Lausanne Sports's 45%, shots finished 14-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lausanne Sports led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Basel and 1.67 for Lausanne Sports.

What was the final score of Basel vs Lausanne Sports?

Basel 1-1 Lausanne Sports in the Switzerland - Super League on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs Lausanne Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Basel 51%, draw 24%, Lausanne Sports 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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