Lausanne Sports 3-2 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 21 Jul 2024

Lausanne Sports
3-2 HT 3-1
Basel
📅21/07/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2024/2025

Lausanne Sports vs Basel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.22
6+ Goals
7%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 31% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.8
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1 EV+ ✗
22%
4.78
X/2
10%
7.12
X/X
9%
4.9
2/1
7%
24.0
2/2
17%
4.91
2/X
5%
13.05
Value flag · X/1 at 4.78 — our 22% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.2pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.9pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.7pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lausanne Sports v Basel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.54/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.55
-4% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
17.8 Crosses 16.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Lausanne Sports vs Basel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lausanne Sports
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Basel
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.55 xG 1.10
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
295 Passes 391
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.05.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
02.03.2024 Basel Basel 1-2 HT 0-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
29.10.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-0 HT 1-0 Basel Basel İSV
13.08.2023 Basel Basel 1-2 HT 0-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
08.05.2022 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-0 HT 0-0 Basel Basel İSV
19.02.2022 Basel Basel 3-0 HT 0-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV

Lausanne Sports 3-2 Basel — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lausanne Sports
3-2
AWAY Basel
1.37 xG 1.52
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
321 Passes 372
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lausanne Sports vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lausanne Sports nicked a narrow win over Basel 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lausanne Sports as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lausanne Sports had 47% of the ball to Basel's 53%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.37 to 1.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lausanne Sports had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lausanne Sports and 0.83 for Basel.

What was the final score of Lausanne Sports vs Basel?

Lausanne Sports 3-2 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lausanne Sports vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lausanne Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lausanne Sports 48%, draw 20%, Basel 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lausanne Sports) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lausanne Sports) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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